A winning bet begins long before pressing the "bet" button. It is the result of analysis, comparison of odds, understanding the motivation of teams. I began to realize this after reading the material: https://fantasykhiladi.com/sports/how-sharp-bettors-think-what-you-can-learn-from-the-pros/ . The article tells how exactly professionals make decisions: what factors are important, how they exclude subjectivity and focus on numbers. It was especially useful to understand how they “read” the betting market and catch moments when the line is profitable. This changed my approach: now I don’t guess, but justify. If you want to increase the accuracy and confidence in your choice, I recommend starting with this material.